Intergroup competitiveness
Mixed-Motive competitiveness
In-group competitiveness
Ø Popularity: % potential population touching meme
Ø Velocity: Rapidity of market diffusion
Ø Longevity: Duration of meme circulation
Ø Fecundity: Span & Popularity of meme derivations
Ø Speciation: Evolutionary development
Drawing on several theories (meme, narrative
rationality, frame, general systems, evolution,
information, social identity, communicative
competence, social network analysis, and diffusion
of innovations). M
3
D proposes memes compete at
multiple levels to occupy information-ecology niches.
M
3
D provides a heuristic framework for organizing
manifold investigations into the roles new media
play in diffusing ideas in cyberspace and their
representation or role in realspace events. M
3
D
seeks to integrate theories and stimulate new theory
development in the fields of big data and new media.
Topic-
Relevant
Outcomes
GEO TECHNICAL
CONTEXT(S)
SOCIETAL
CONTEXT(S)
SOCIAL
CONTEXT/NETWORK(S)
CMC
COMPETENCE
NETWORK LEVEL
‘ALTRUISM’ FACTORS:
OBJECTIVE/STRUCTURAL
N past memes (e.g., tweets)
N nodes (actors/followers)
Network Interdependence
N/Centrality of Influencers
Network Homophily
Network Edge Heterophily
NETWORK LEVEL
‘COMPETING’ FACTORS:
SUBJECTIVE/RECEPTIVENESS
Counter-Memes & Frames
Frame/Narrative (In)Fidelity
Subjective Homophily/Heterophily
Niche: Relative (Dis)Advantage
Cascade Threshold(s)/Norms
INDIVIDUAL LEVEL
COMPETENCE FACTORS:
Motivation/Knowledge/Skills
Source Credibility
Actor Centrality/Propinquity
Message/Media Adaptability
MEME LEVEL
ADAPTIVE FACTORS:
Distinctiveness/Entropy
Reproduction/Redundancy
Simplicity/Trialability
Media Convergence
Media Expressivity/Richness
Trope/Frame/Appeal Credibility
MEME(S)
GEO-TECHNICAL LEVEL
System Limitation/Trauma
Geospatial Scope/Span
Proximity/Density Facilitation
MEME
EFFICACY
Attention
Popularity
Velocity
Longevity
Fecundity/
Speciation
MULTILEVELMODELOFMEMEDIFFUSION(M
3
D)
SOCIETAL LEVEL
Rival Social Networks
Counter-Memes & Frames
Diffusion Stage Exhaustion
Mitigating Publicity
Media Inaccessibility
Rhetorical Exigency
Rhetorical Exigency: “Any exigence is an
imperfection marked by urgency; it is a defect,
an obstacle, something waiting to be done, a
thing which is other than it should be” (Bitzer,
1992, p. 6)
MEMES
Inanyrhetoricalsituationtherewillbeatleastonecontrollingexigence
whichfunctionsastheorganizingprinciple:itspecifiestheaudienceto
beaddressedandthechangetobeeffected.Theexigencemayormay
notbeperceivedclearlybytherhetororotherpersonsinthesituation;it
maybestrongorweakdependingupontheclarityoftheirperception
andthedegreeoftheirinterestinit;itmayberealorunrealdepending
onthefactsofthecase;itmaybeimportantortrivial”(Bitzer,1992,6)
Bitzer,L.F.(1968).TheRhetoricalSituation.Philosophy & Rhetoric,1(1),1-14.
Bitzer,L.F.(1992).TheRhetoricalSituation.Philosophy & Rhetoric,251-14.
Garret,M.,&Xiaosui,X.(1993).TheRhetoricalSituationRevisited.RSQ: Rhetoric Society Quarterly,23(2),30-40.
Gorrell,D.(1997).TheRhetoricalSituationAgain:LinkedComponentsinaVennDiagram.Philosophy & Rhetoric,30(4),395-412.
Grant-davie,K.(1997).RhetoricalSituationsandTheirConstituents.Rhetoric Review,15(2),264-279.
Larson,R.L.(1970).LloydBitzer's"RhetoricalSituation"andtheClassificationofDiscourse:ProblemsandImplications.Philosophy
& Rhetoric,3(3),165-168.
Miller,A.B.(1972).RhetoricalExigence.Philosophy & Rhetoric,5(2),111-118.
Vatz,R.E.(1973).TheMythoftheRhetoricalSituation.Philosophy & Rhetoric,6(3),154-161.
Wilkerson,K.E.(1970).OnEvaluatingTheoriesofRhetoric.Philosophy & Rhetoric,3(2),82-96.
Meme: A meme is an act or meaning structure that
is capable of replication, which means imitation
(Dawkins, 1976), requiring:
Variation
Selection
Retention
MEMES
“Memes may best be understood as
cultural information that passes along
from person to person, yet gradually
scales into a shared social phenomenon”
(Shifman, 2013, pp. 364-5)
Dawkins,R.(1976).The selfish gene.NewYork,NY:OxfordUniversityPress.
Shifman,L.(2013).Memesinadigitalworld:Reconcilingwithaconceptualtroublemaker.Journal of Computer-Mediated
Communication, 18,362–377.doi:10.1111/jcc4.12013
CMC Competence: The appropriate and effective
use of electronic media or information
communication technologies (ICTs) in
interacting with others (Spitzberg, 2006)
MEMES
Spitzberg,B.H.(2006).Towardatheoryofcomputer-mediatedcommunicationcompetence.Journal of Computer-
Mediated Communication,11,629-666.DOI:10.1111/j.1083-6101.2006.00030.x
H: The more motivated, knowledgeable, and skilled a
communicator is with adapting ICTs in interacting with
others, the more appropriate, effective, credible and
influential that person will be in messaging others.
Social Network: The graph comprised of the nodes
(persons) and their communications (links) with
others in that graph.
MEMES
Sources:
Key Concepts:
In-degree:
Out-degree:
Centrality:
Affinity path:
Societal Context: The sociocultural factors, such as
formal and informal social movements,
campaigns, and social norms that constitute
and construct public sentiments and beliefs.
MEMES
Sources:
Key Concepts:
RivalSocialNetworks
Counter-Memes&Frames
DiffusionStageExhaustion
MitigatingPublicity
MediaInaccessibility
:
Geotechnical Context: The geographic, spatial, and
technological factors, such as the digital divide,
proximity, and population dynamics that enable
and constrain the communication of public
sentiments and beliefs.
MEMES
Sources:
Key Concepts:
SystemLimitation/Trauma
GeospatialScope/Span
Proximity/DensityFacilitation
:
MEMES AND EVOLUTION
Diffusion of Innovations Model: A diffusion is “a special type
of communication concerned with the spread of
messages that are perceived as new ideas” (Rogers,
2003, p. 35).
Rogers,E.M.(2003).Diffusion of innovations(5thed.).NewYork:FreePress.
Rogers,E.M.,&Kincaid,D.L.(1981).Communication networks: Toward a new paradigm for research.NewYork:Free
Press.
Asymmetric fitness: “selfishness [i.e., adaptiveness,
competitiveness] beats altruism within groups. Altruistic
groups beat selfish groups. Everything else is
commentary” (Wilson & Wilson, 2007).
Implication: Within groups or social networks, memes (and
their authors) compete for status (to be heard), but when
a given homogenous group or network is competing
against another group for status, cooperative groups
compete better than groups experiencing entropy, chaos
or intragroup competition.
MEMES AND EVOLUTION
Information ecologies: M
3
D proposes that memes,
as forms of information, occupy a broader
information environment in which fitness is
influenced by adaptation to the availability of
attention as a scarce resource (Simmons et al., 2014)
Echo chambers: Information niches evolve their
own information ecologies, forming what is
commonly referred to as echo chambers,
corresponding to “communities,” in which
certain memes are preferentially advantaged
by the ecology.
MEMES AND EVOLUTION
Meme competition:Socialnetworksare,“incertain
limits,…automaticallypoisedatcriticality—inthesense
thatmemepopularitiesaredescribedbyacritical
branchingprocess—and…thecriticalitycanbeascribed
tothecompetitionbetweenmemesforthelimited
resourceofuserattention.Wedubthismechanism
“competitioninducedcriticality”(CIC)”(Gleeson,Ward,O’Sullivan&Lee,
2014,p.048701;seealso:Feng,etal.,2015)
Echo chambers:”whenthemediafollowanaudience
orientedstrategyofinformationdelivery(i.e.everybody
triestomimicthemostsuccessfulmedium),thereisa
smootheningofconsensustransition….Sucheffecttends
todisappearwithincreasingthenumberofmedia.On
theotherhand,competition(polarization)amongmedia
producesafragmentationoftheopinions’spacethus
preventingasystem-wideconsensus”(Quattrociocchi,Caldarelli&Scala,
(2014,p.5)
Meaningful
Event(s)
e.g., memes
responding to:
Disaster
Election
Movie
Disease
Etc.
Meme
1
Meme
2
Meme
3
Meme
n
Meme
Cross-sectional
inferences/echoes
(maps) about
event(s)
TYPESOFMEMETICDIFFUSIONPATTERNS:
Evememic diffusion:event-generateddiffusionofmemeslinkedtotheeventor
experience(fromevenire: Latinex-“out”andvenire “tocomeout,happen,result”),in
whicheventsstimulatesimilartextualexpressionsabouttheexperienceofaneventor
setofevents(e.g.,flutweets;Nageletal.,2013).
Theamountofrainpositivelypredictssocial
networkpostsabouttherain(Coviello,Fowler,&
Franceschetti,2014)
Note:“ThewordmemederivesfromtheGreekmimema,signifying‘somethingwhichisimitated’…In1870the
AustriansociologistEwaldHeringcoinedthephraseDie Mneme(fromtheGreekMneme,meaningmemory”
(Shifman,2013,p.363)
EVEMEMIC
TYPESOFMEMETICDIFFUSIONPATTERNS:
Mimetic
Event(s)
e.g., memes replicating/
responding to:
Leave Brittny alone
Charlie bit my finger
http://www.memes.com/
http://knowyourmeme.com/
http://www.memecenter.com
Etc.
Meme
1a
Meme
na
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Longitudinal/Sequential inferences
(maps) about event(s)
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
Etymemic diffusion:meme-generateddiffusionof
directlylinkedmemes(from:Greeketymon—“truesense”
+logia “studyof,aspeakingof”),inwhichanoriginal
memegeneratesfurtherdirectlylinkedmemesresultingin
asortofgeneticspeciationofagiventextualformover
time(e.g.,theriotkiss,Hahner,2013).
ENTYMEMIC
Meaningful
Event(s)
e.g., memes
responding to:
Disease
Disaster
Election
Movie
Etc.
Cross-sectional
inferences
(maps) about
event(s)
Meme
1
Meme
2
Meme
3
Meme
n
Meme
Meme
1a
Meme
na
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Longitudinal/Sequential inferences
(maps) about event(s)
Mimetic
Event(s)
e.g., memes replicating/
responding to:
Leave Brittny alone
Charlie bit my finger
http://www.memes.com/
http://knowyourmeme.com/
http://www.memecenter.com
Etc.
TYPESOFMEMETICDIFFUSIONPATTERNS
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
1b
Meme
nx
Meme
Meme
EVEMEMIC ENTYMEMIC
POLYMEMIC
e.g..,surveillanceofTweetsre:50adverseFDAdrugevents
showedthatwhile2spikesappeared“precipitatedby
informationuniquetoTwitter,”3subsequentspikesappeared
“promptedbyeventsthatarealsopresentinsomeother
source(suchasnewsarticles,healthportals,andresearch
abstracts)”(Abbasi&Adjeroh,2014,p.62)
“Socialmediawaslong-believedtobealag
indicatorforfinancialandpoliticalevents.
However,morerecently,ithasbeenfoundtobe
aneffectiveleadindicator”(Abbasi&Adjeroh,
2014,p.61)
Theremaybereciprocaleffects—Tweeters
duringpresidentialdebatesfeelthatdebatesare
moreimportant,paymoreattention,andfeel
morevalencedtowardcandidates.Whichcauses
which?(Houstonetal.,2013)
LINGUISTIC AGENCY:
Linguistic agency of disease severity of
disease;
Linguistic agency of vax belief in
mandatory vaccination policies (Bell et al.,
2014)
NARRATIVE FORM:
Narratives > statistics (Betsch et al. 2011;
see also: Shelby & Ernst, 2013))
Narratives + statistics + disclaimer (Betsch et
al., 2013)
NARRATIVE FORM:
“we observed a stable narrative bias…
normatively irrelevant information conveyed
by narratives from online discussion boards
systematically increased perceptions of
vaccination risks” (Bell et al., 2014)
GIST-STATISTIC-STORY:
Both providing a clear gist and providing
statistics increased Facebook sharing of
Disneyland vax articles on Facebook, but not
stories (Broniatowski et al., 2016)
APPEAL TYPE:
An experiment comparing 4 appeal types: (a)
lack of evidence of harm; (b) dangers of the
diseases; (c) images of saved children; & (d)
narrative of saved child, showed none
worked, and some backfired (Nyhan et al.,
2014; cf. MacDonald et al., 2013)
FEAR APPEALS:
Parental vax resistance is based more on fear
of actively doing harm (vaccinating) than not
doing something (not vaccinating) that results
in harm (Wroe et al., 2004)
SENTIMENT:
Mere exposure to negative vax sentiments in
tweets increases the likelihood of subsequent
posting of negative opinions on vaccines,
supporting the value of denialism as a
rhetorical strategy (Dunn et al., 2015)
REMINDERS:
Patient reminder messages demonstrated a
significant predictive role in increasing adult
patient immunization (OR = 2.52-3.80; Stone
et al., 2002; see also: Lau et al., 2012)
EFFECTS OF MEDIUM:
First ‘hit’ exposure to anti-vax websites
knowledge, fear of adverse effects,
whereas first hit pro-vax sites vax
knowledge (Allam et al., 2014)
EFFECTS OF MEDIUM:
97% of health info. seekers accessing web
stick with initial 10 hits (Eyesenbach, 2002);
anti-vax web info for > 10 min. = vax
exemption intention (Betsch et al., 2010)
Axiom 1: Meme fitness is positively related to meme diffusion.
H
1
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more distinctive
(informationally unique) a meme, the more successfully it will diffuse
H
2
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more a meme
decreases entropy (uncertainty), the more successfully it will diffuse.
H
3
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more a meme is
repeated and/or morphed, the more successfully it will diffuse.
H
4
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more user-friendly
(convenient, efficient) a meme is to recall, reproduce, and send, the more
successfully it will diffuse.
H
5
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more media
convergent a meme, the more successfully it will diffuse.
H
6
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more informationally
rich and/or present the meme, the more successfully it will diffuse.
H
7
: Within a given meme-stream or corpus or social network, the more it reflects
empirically-verified persuasive message design strategies, the more successfully it
will diffuse.,
Meme Level
H
1
: The more motivated, knowledgeable and skilled a source is with information
communication technologies, the more successfully the source’s memes will
diffuse
H
2
: The higher the credibility of a source within a given audience or social network, the
more successfully the source’s memes will diffuse
H
3
: The more centrally located a source is within a social network, the more
successfully the source’s memes will diffuse within that network.
H
4
: The greater the propinquity (closer the link) between a source and other nodes, the
more successfully the source’s meme will diffuse to those nodes.
H
5
: The greater the competence of a source at adapting memes to their most
appropriate technological medium, the more successfully the source’s memes will
diffuse.
Source Level
H
1
: Axiom: The past is present: ceteris paribus, meme-types that have successfully
diffused in the past will be the best (default) predictor of the types of memes likely
to diffuse in the future.
H
2
: The larger the social network, the greater the potential for successful meme
diffusion (given that the average meme’s length and number of meme replications
decrease with increasing social network size)
H
3
: The greater the interdependence of social network nodes, the more successfully
memes generated by those nodes will diffuse to other network nodes.
H
4
: The greater the network centrality of influentials within a social network, the more
successfully those influentials’ memes will diffuse.
H
5
: The greater the structural homophily among social network nodes, the more
successfully memes generated by those nodes will diffuse to other homophilous
nodes.
H
6
: The greater the structural heterophily of a social network’s boundaries and liaisons
(bridges) to other social networks, the more successfully memes will diffuse.
H
7
: Axiom: Meme diffusion success is a function of both within-network homophily and
the heterophily of that network’s connections with other social networks, both
homophilous and heterophilous.
Objective Social Network Level
H
1
: The greater the counter-memes and/or counter-frames competing for attention
within a social network, the less successfully a given meme will diffuse.
H
2
: The lower the narrative fidelity a meme has within the dominant status quo frames
or master narratives, the less successfully that meme will diffuse.
H
3
: The greater the interdependence of social network nodes, the more successfully
memes generated by those nodes will diffuse to other network nodes.
H
4
: The greater the network centrality of influentials within a social network, the more
successfully those influentials’ memes will diffuse.
H
5
: The greater the structural homophily among social network nodes, the more
successfully memes generated by those nodes will diffuse to other homophilous
nodes.
H
6
: The greater the heterophily of a social network’s boundaries and liaisons (bridges)
to other social networks, the more successfully memes will diffuse.
H
7
: Axiom: Meme diffusion success is a function of both within-network homophily and
the heterophily of that network’s connections with other social networks, both
homophilous and heterophilous.
Subjective Social Network Level
Counter-Memes & Frames
Frame/Narrative (In)Fidelity
Subjective Homophily/Heterophily
Niche: Relative (Dis)Advantage
Cascade Threshold(s)/Norms
TRUST-ETHOS:
Analysis of swine flu media coverage and
vaccination in Sweden found that “trust in
the authorities had greater significance for
the rate of vaccination than the perception of
concern” (Ghersetti & Odén, 2011, p. 111)
SOURCE BIAS:
Neutral sources enhance the credibility of
anti-vax messages over biased (web) sources
(Hause et al., 2015)
MEME HISTORY:
“the past expression of a sentiment by an
individual predicts an increased propensity
for that individual to express that same
sentiment again” (Salathé et al., 2013, p. 8)
NETWORK SIZE:
“Generally, larger opinionated neighborhood
sizes have an inhibitory effect on the
expression of opinionated sentiments”
(Salathé et al., 2013, p. 8)
MEME HISTORY:
“increasing negative reciprocal neighborhood
size has the expected effect of increasing the
likelihood of expressing a negative sentiment
[whereas positive reciprocity network size
decreases sentiment expression]” (Salathé et
al., 2013, p. 8)
MEME HISTORY:
There is a strong linear relationship between
N of followers and likelihood of retweets
(Suh, et al., 2010)
NETWORK INTERDEPENDENCE:
Parental neighborhood social capital
mediates the relationship between vax
knowledge and vax acceptance and vax rate
(Jung et al., 2013)
INFLUENTIAL CENTRALITY:
Schools with representatives who believe in
the efficacy of vaccinations have
nonmedical exemption rates (Salmon et al.,
2004)
INFLUENTIAL CENTRALITY:
Interaction frequency is more predictive of tie
strength than individual characteristics (e.g.,
status) (Jones et al., 2013)
HOMOPHILY:
“Across all four models, those with more
provaccination discussion networks reported
higher beliefs in vaccine safety and greater
intent to vaccinate” (Nyhan et al., 2012, p.
304)
HOMOPHILY:
“support for vaccination among several types
of discussants [parents, spouses, or friends] is
significantly associated with vaccine
attitudes” (Nyhan et al., 2012, p. 304)
HETEROPHILY:
“Modularity” (the degree of fragmented sub-
communities) and Community N (number of
communities in a network) influence the
speed (Hi Mod = growth model; Hi cohesive
communities = spike model (D’Orazio, 2013)
HETEROPHILY:
An informatics study of vaccination (HPV)
tweets & blogs found a high concentration of
message sources directionally connected to
most other infrequent contributors (Huesch
et al., 2013)
COMPETITION:
Almost half of comments on vax policy online
news articles expressed negative sentiment,
along themes of freedom of choice, efficacy,
safety, and government distrust (Lei et al.,
2015)
COMPETITION:
Anti-vax web tactics (Kata, 2012):
skewing the science; Shifting hypotheses;
Censorship; Attacking the opposition
COMPETITION:
Anti-vax web frames (Bean, 2011; Kata,
2010): Safety & effectiveness; Alternative
medicine; Civil liberties; Conspiracy theory;
Morality/Religion/Ideology;
Misinformation/Falsehoods
COMPETITION:
Anti-vax “movements” as discourse frames
and “health movements” (Blume, 2006)
COMPETITION:
“it appears that reports of vaccination
experiences by ‘people like me’ are trusted
irrespective of the source that delivers them”
(Hause et al., 2015; see also Dubé et al., 2013)
PERCEIVED HOMOPHILY:
“it appears that reports of vaccination
experiences by ‘people like me’ are trusted
irrespective of the source that delivers them”
(Hause et al., 2015)
PERCEIVED HOMOPHILY:
Analysis of Zika social media memes indicates
that “the leading pseudo-scientific claims
build on existing narratives,” and … “these
pseudo-scientific claims are being advanced
by existing vaccine skeptic communities”
(Dredze et al., 2016)
PERCEIVED HOMOPHILY:
“there was significantly more information
flow between users who shared the same
sentiments than expected if the sentiments
were randomly distributed” (Salathé &
Khandelwal, 2011, p. 3)
PERCEIVED HOMOPHILY:
“most communities were dominated by
either positive or negative sentiments
towards the novel vaccine” (Salathé &
Khandelwal, 2011, p. 3)
PERCEIVED HOMOPHILY:
The more active a conspiracy theorist on one
topic, the more active across topics, and the
more they exhaust the corpus of a given topic
(Bessi et al., 2015)
COUNTER-FRAMES:
Vax denialists operate from a competing
epistemic frame, in which credibility is
more democratic, truth can be emotional
as well as rational, and reject traditional
conceptions of competence & expertise
(Navin, 2013)
COUNTER-FRAMES:
“Antivax political strategy has shifted… we
call it ‘vaccine choice’… as bad science and
conspiracies repeatedly lost in legislative
votes, anti-vaxxers updated their
marketing”(Diresta & Lotan, 2015; see
also: Sturm et al., 2005)
SOCIAL VS. MAINSTREAM MEDIA:
A vaccine sentimeter found that interest
in vax issues may be more reactive, but
shorter-termed in Twitter than in
traditional media (Bahk et al., 2016)
SPATIALPOLICYEFFECTS:
Stateswithmorerelaxedexemptionshave
highernon-medicalexemptions(Omeret
al.,2006;Wangetal.,2014)
SPATIALPOLICYEFFECTS:
Vaccination-relatedTwittertrafficishighestin
stateswiththehighestexemptionrates,and
mostliberalexemptionpolicies(Oregon,
Vermont),andamplified(retweeted)mostin
otherliberalexemptionstates(Wisconsin,
Mississippi,Iowa)(Radzikowskietal.,2016)
GEOSPATIALDISTANCE:
Pertussisincidencecorrelatedwith
geospatialclusteringofvaxexemptionsin
Michigan(Omeretal.,2008)
GEOSPATIAL DISTANCE:
Perceivingalongdistanceasabarrierto
vaxactualvaccinationstatus(Daniset
al.,2010)
OUTCOMES:Neigeretal.(2015)
identify16separate
operationalizationsofTwitter
metricsthatcanbeusedtoassess
low,medium,orhighengagement
(i.e.,reciprocalconnections)in
publichealth.
OUTCOMES:
Size:Nofdevices/peopletouchedbymeme
Velocity:sharingrate/hour
Daystopeak:daystohitmaximum(asymptote)
Variability:coefficientofvariation(i.e.,(SDshares/day)/
(Mshares/day)
RetweetRate:sharingrate
SocialCurrency:Twittershare/millionYouTubeviews
Lifespan:power-law(steadydiminishment)vs.rippling
decay(asnewcommunitiesadopt(Owens,2013;see
also:Wu&Huberman,2007)
OUTCOMES:Memescanbestudiedas
exactreplicas,orevolvedvariant(mutation)
forms.Researchonover460million
Facebookpostsandtheirtracesfoundthat
notonlydotheyfitanevolutionaryfitness
(Yule)model,thedifferentialfitnessof
variantsdependedonpoliticalaffiliations
(i.e.,informationalniches)(Adamicetal.,
2014)
COMMUNICATION INFLUENCES
Time
KNOWLEDGE
1
PERSUASION
2
DECISION
3
CONFIRMATION
4
ADOPTION
REJECTION
RECEIVER
Personality
Need for innovation
Perceived threat
Etc.
Continued
adoption
Discon-
tinuance
Later
adoption
Continued
rejection
SOCIAL SYSTEM
Trialability
Voluntariness
Norms/Others’ use
Group identity
advantage
Homophily
AFFORDANCES
Ease of use
Compatibility
Communicability
Image-enhancing
ability
Relative advantage
Skills/
Knowledge
Motivation
Adapted from: Compeau, D. R., et al. (2007). From prediction to explanation: Reconceptualizing and extending the
perceived characteristics of innovating. Journal of The Association for Information Systems, 8, 209-439..
DIFFUSION OF INNOVATIONS
CUMULATIVE FREQUENCY
DISTRIBUTION OF ADOPTION
INNOVA-
TORS
EARLY
ADOPTERS
EARLY
MAJORITY
LATE
MAJORITY
LAGGARDS
100
95
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
TIME
MACRO: DIFFUSION OF INNOVATIONS
Each role will
have distinct
network
structure(s)
CROSS-SECTIONAL
FREQUENCY
DISTRIBUTION OF
ADOPTION